Many people seem existentially worried that AI will replace us. Or, worse, somehow transcend us. Make us irrelevant.
I’m not so sure.
Technology has always been about augmenting and multiplying human effort.
A sole human with a hand hoe can cultivate about 0.04 acres of land a day. Give that human a pair of oxen and they can cultivate between 0.5 – 1.3 acres per day… a 10-30x improvement in productivity. Give that human a steam plough and it’s 20 acres a day. A modern tractor: 40-75 acres a day.
The tractor didn’t transcend the human because it was orders of magnitude stronger, more capable or productive. It augmented and amplified what that human can achieve.
AI – and LLMs especially – feel different because they don’t augment our physical ability, but our cognitive ability. It’s new territory and it’s scary. But it’s still just a tractor – for thought, instead of soil. It’s a “tractor for the mind” (to paraphrase Steve Jobs).
And we’re still in the driver’s seat.